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|Wednesday, January 16, 2013|
BY EMMA HALL
The Williams Institute of UCLA Law recently released a report estimating the economic impact in the three newest states to approve gay marriage — Maine, Maryland and Washington. Massachusetts was the first state to legalize same-sex unions in 2004. From May 2004 to September 2008, the state had a $111 million boost from gay marriage legalization, according to an earlier report by The Williams Institute.
The report predicts that wedding spending in the next three years in those states could generate over $166 million. Washington same-sex couples make up an $88 million chunk of that, with a $57 million boost expected in the first year alone. The impact would be felt especially at wedding and tourism-related businesses.
The Williams Institute findings are based on 2010 U.S. Census data and Washington's average wedding spending. It also assumes that half of Washington's existing same-sex couples will marry in three years, based on the rate of marriage after same-sex marriage was legalized in Massachusetts. Estimates don't include the myriad of out-of-state same-sex couples that might travel to Washington to get married when they don't have the opportunity in their home states—including couples from Oregon.
The effects of same-sex marriage legalization are already being felt in Washington, even though it has only been a little over a month since the law went into effect on Dec. 6, 2012. Over 130 gay couples were married at Seattle City Hall on the first day alone.
Though Washington's same-sex marriage legalization is still in infant stages, the biggest boost to the economy is expected in the first year. By the end of 2013 it should become clearer if Oregon voters will follow suit.
Basic Rights Oregon will be collecting signatures for a 2014 measure this summer. The organization needs to collect 116,284 signatures to qualify for the ballot. Basic Rights Oregon decided not to pursue a ballot measure in 2012, because the "timing wasn't right." Oregon faces a harder fight than Washington, which voted for a statute change. To legalize same-sex marriage, Oregon voters would have to overturn a constitutional ban that was previously voted in—the 2004 constitutional amendment Measure 36 that prohibits gay marriage. Although nine states currently allow same-sex marriage, Oregon would be the first to overturn a constitutional ban if Basic Rights Oregon is successful.
Currently, Oregon does have domestic partnerships (approved by the Legislature in 2007), but supporters want full equal rights, and think that 2014 could be the time as more politicans rally behind the cause. President Obama is the first sitting president to declare his support for gay marriage and there are many openly gay prominent figures in government (such as House Speaker Tina Kotek, the first openly lesbian house speaker). However, some supporters think 2014 would be a bad time to bring the controversial choice to voters, as non-presidential elections generally have lower voter turnout, as well as a lower turnout of young, liberal voters.
As Oregon's economy remains stagnant with unemployment at 8.4%, it remains to be seen if the $88 million spending boost in Washington will sway some of the 57% of Oregon voters who opposed gay marriage in 2004.
Emma Hall is web editor for Oregon Business.
Thursday, December 04, 2014
BY DEBRA RINGOLD | OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR
How important are institutional and/or program evaluations provided by third parties in selecting a college or university program?
Saturday, December 13, 2014
Checking in with the managing director of Arnerich Massena.
Sunday, December 07, 2014
BY LINDA BAKER
On Friday, Uber switched on an app — and with one push of the button torpedoed Portland’s famed public process.
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
BY NISHANT BHAJARIA | OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR
By now, anyone who knows about it has a position on President Obama’s executive order on immigration. The executive order is the outcome of failed attempts at getting a bill through the normal legislative process. Both Obama and his predecessor came close, but not close enough since the process broke down multiple times.
Friday, December 12, 2014
BY LINDA BAKER
Studying ground-running birds, a group that ranks among nature's speediest and most agile bipedal runners, to build a faster robot.
Saturday, December 13, 2014
The president of LaPorte & Associates lets us in on his day-to-day life.
Monday, November 10, 2014
BY KIM MOORE | OB RESEARCH EDITOR
A market for low-carbon transportation fuels has a chance to flourish in Oregon if regulators adopt the second phase of the state’s Clean Fuels Program.
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