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|Thursday, November 05, 2009|
It really doesn’t matter if the GDP, the local economist, the national pundits or your barber is telling you the recession is over. Most of you don’t think it is. In our latest poll, over 60% of the respondents said they don’t believe the recession is over.
"I think the recession is over," UO economist Tim Duy told the Oregonian this week, while “gazing past his young daughter … into sparkling waves off Hawaii.”
Nice work if you can get it, but many Oregonians can’t find a job and the state’s unemployment is among the highest in the nation. Duy and others also like to call this a jobless recovery.
Some think it cannot be a recovery until jobs return.
Ed Ray, OSU president and an economist, wrote in an opinion piece: “Recovery appears to be taking hold. But then came news that by now must seem familiar to many Oregonians, who have heard it many times following periods of economic difficulty: Oregon's portion of the recovery will take a while. And don't expect many jobs to accompany it… Why?”
Oregonians aren’t the only ones to feel the recession hasn’t receded.
The International labor Organization this week questioned whether the recession was really over since wages continued to drop. In a statement issued Tuesday, the ILO said real wages worldwide declined for a second year in a row. The ILO said it expected wages to slide even further in 2009. In the first quarter of the year alone, real monthly wages sagged in half of the 35 countries that submitted data, compared to their average in 2008.
Summed up Chicago Sun-Times columnist Terry Savage recently: “The American public is starting to get more than mildly annoyed at those who tell them the economy is bouncing back.”
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Yesterday, a divided National Labor Relations Board dropped another hammer on the employer community. In a long-awaited and much debated move, the Board jettisoned the decades old standard for determining when two independent businesses should be considered joint employers of an individual worker for collective bargaining purposes.
Transforming the culture of Oregon’s educational leadership.
The Board dismissed a petition related to efforts to unionize the Northwestern University football team.
Oregon Sick Leave is here, and changes to the federal white-collar worker regulations are on the way. This workshop will prepare you for both. We invite you to participate in an interactive discussion on how to start planning now for the future impact on your operations and finances.
Presented by OEN + CENTRL + YESpdx.
This Roundtable will cover numerous issues under the employer "shared responsibility" rules of the Affordable Care Act, including how to track the "full-time" status of variable-hour employees, temporary or seasonal employees, and employees who experience a change in status or a break in service. Additionally, we will provide a brief overview of Code sections 6055 and 6056, which require most mid-sized and large employers to submit their first information reports to the IRS in early 2016 regarding the health insurance coverage being offered to employees. We invite you to participate in an interactive discussion on how to prepare for the future impact of the shared responsibility rules on your operations and finances.