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|Articles - July 2010|
|Thursday, June 24, 2010|
Page 6 of 6
In the case of Bend, some say the surrounding mass of resorts is hurting the very city that was supposed to be helped. Clem says the first resorts did help the economy by bringing a lot of people to Central Oregon “and then they explored Bend. The second wave of resorts I don’t think has contributed positively to the economy. The resorts have become a competitor to Bend.”
Large or small, eco-minded or not, resorts will not drive rural economies, according to John McIlwain, who authored a report this year on housing in America in the next decade for the Urban Land Institute.
“This kind of tourist business does not produce high levels of economic growth,” he says. “The jobs generated by tourism are low; businesses are modest.”
Along with changing demographics and changing housing needs, “The U.S. economy is changing,” says McIlwain. “It’s an urban nation. We have to face the fact that rural areas will have modest economies. The reality is that you have limited options.”
Roger Lee, with Economic Development for Central Oregon, argues that the region has had successful job growth because of the resorts. “These resorts separate us from communities like Baker City,” which struggles to build its tourism. “It does matter if they succeed.”
To Gene Whisnant, the destination resort is an option worth saving. “We don’t have many industries left in Oregon. I think destination resorts — managed properly with the right guidance — work.”
Mike Hollern believes the resorts have been good for their communities but “what is the true impact? Those are unanswerable questions.”
Still, he says, resorts have “delivered on their promise to help rural Oregon.”
Whether they will continue to deliver on that promise is also a question.
It was a prescient concern. The Peterson report, which was presented to Dingelder’s work group, says profits from lodging, dining, golf, and other amenities and recreation activities are “quite modest.” Without robust home sales, developers say resorts aren’t financially attractive enough. They want them still, even though it could take years to clear the current glut off the market.
The Peterson report also says developers shouldn’t be forced into building more resort lodges because the Northwest is oversupplied with those, too, and floats the idea to allow “ultra-low-density community with limited amenities and perhaps with no traditional lodging.”
“So what’s the market? Overnights or second homes?” asked Jackie Dingfelder during the meeting.
Linda Swearingen admitted she was stumped. “It’s a combination. But this market is so funny right now, it’s hard to tell what the future of a resort needs to look like.”
John McIlwain’s national study says that the second-home market will be weak for decades; younger boomers won’t be able to afford one and older boomers increasingly are interested in living in urban settings. Generation Y, the group coming up behind the boomers, will have little money for first homes, much less second homes.
And other factors weigh in. In Deschutes County, ground zero for second-home saturation in the state, the City of Bend wants to expand its urban growth boundary by 8,400 acres, with 500 acres of land for second homes. That would leave less reason to continue building second homes in destination resorts.
Jeld-Wen’s Jerry Andres minces no words. “The future of the industry is not growth. It will be managing what’s already on the ground,” he says. “And if you’re not already built,” he adds, “it’s not going to happen.”
The stalled Remington Ranch has every intention of building. In late May it filed its reorganization plan in U.S. Bankruptcy Court, seeking $35 million in new financing to finish phase one, which includes a golf course and 192 single-family homes.
Of course, the court has to approve the plan, and the housing market by many accounts has not yet reached bottom, but Remington’s Chris Pippin says his property is valuable and he’s hoping to wait it out. “Remington is a 20- to 30-year build-out,” he says. “Regardless of what happens, this project will get developed.”
It is an unwinnable argument as to who is right. Ultimately the market will decide which of the already-approved resorts will survive and the Legislature will decide the shape of future ones.
Dingfelder says she would like to find consensus in the work group about that future. Time will tell if that is even possible, given the dozens of different agendas and that the group’s recommendations still have to face the onslaught of special interests in the 2011 legislative session.
And after the legislators have decided and the developers have left, time will also tell if the rural grocery owner was helped or if rules and promises were again made to be broken.
Friday, January 23, 2015
BY KIM MOORE | OB RESEARCH EDITOR
Carbon pricing is gaining momentum in Oregon, sparking concern for energy-intensive businesses — but also opportunity to expand a homespun green economy.
Monday, January 26, 2015
BY LINDA BAKER
The 2014 Bend Venture Conference set a record for the most cash, investments and prizes awarded at an angel conference in the Pacific Northwest. Investments in the six winning companies exceeded $1 million. The 11th annual conference was hosted by Economic Development of Central Oregon.
Tuesday, December 09, 2014
BY LINDA BAKER
On the eve of the Portland Ad Federation's Rosey Awards, Matt Anderson, CEO of Struck, talks about the transition from creative director to CEO, the Portland talent pool and whether data is the new black in the creative services sector.
Wednesday, January 14, 2015
BY NISHANT BHAJARIA | OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR
Startups in the growth phase are associated with a fresh infusion of capital — human and financial — a curiosity factor and products to disrupt the market and drive demand. Portland’s economy gives off the same aroma.
Friday, December 12, 2014
BY LINDA BAKER
Studying ground-running birds, a group that ranks among nature's speediest and most agile bipedal runners, to build a faster robot.
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
BY KIM MOORE
Robin Anderson, dean of the Pamplin School of Business, University of Portland: "You need people who are comfortable leading in ambiguity."
Monday, January 26, 2015
BY JACOB PALMER
Fittingly, Light at Play — a business whose sole purpose is to create mesmerizing ambience — was conceived at Burning Man.
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In a switch on the traditional trade show, representatives from UO departments and local and state agencies will host tables to connect with businesses and vendors. The fourth Reverse Vendor Fair will take place Wednesday, Feb. 25, in Eugene.